Nickel Salt Prices Rebound, Limited Profit Recovery for Salt Plants [SMM Nickel Meeting Notes]

Published: May 24, 2024 19:06
Source: SMM
Nickel Salt Prices Rebound, Limited Profit Recovery for Salt Plants [SMM Nickel Meeting Notes] On May 23, Jinchuan premiums were quoted at 1000-1200 RMB/ton, with an average of 1100 RMB/ton, up 400 RMB/ton from the previous trading day. Russian nickel premiums were quoted at -600 to -300 RMB/ton, with an average of -450 RMB/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day. This morning, the market fell sharply along with the overall base metals market, and the spot market transactions showed some improvement compared to before, but were still mainly driven by just-in-time purchasing. Today's nickel bean prices were 149,000-149,800 RMB/ton, down 5050 RMB/ton from the previous day's spot prices, and the price difference between nickel beans and nickel sulfate was about 2582 RMB/ton (nickel sulfate prices were 2582 RMB/ton lower than nickel bean prices).

On May 23, the SMM battery-grade nickel sulfate index price was 32,389 RMB/ton, up 189 RMB/ton from the previous working day. The battery-grade nickel sulfate price was 32,000-32,500 RMB/ton, with an average price increase of 100 RMB/ton from the previous working day. The supply of nickel salts is constrained by the tightness of current and expected raw material availability, and finished product inventories remain at low levels. High raw material coefficients and high nickel prices have pushed up raw material costs, deepening the profit inversion for salt plants and leading to strong price support from these plants. Although demand has somewhat weakened, temporary restocking needs due to previous difficulties in inventory building by some precursor plants and increased orders have forced downstream buyers to accept high-priced nickel salts. Consequently, nickel salt prices have rebounded. However, due to the high opening price of nickel on Monday, the extent of profit recovery for salt plants has been limited.

Stainless Steel: On May 23, according to SMM research, stainless steel futures significantly plummeted, but spot prices rose rationally yesterday. Most traders and agents, to avoid risks, opted to halt trading, resulting in a sluggish market with high pressure on spot sales. Although futures prices still have a substantial premium, spot price increases have been weak. Supported by costs, the probability of a price drop is low, and in the short term, stainless steel spot prices are expected to remain stable. In the morning, 304 cold-rolled in Wuxi was quoted at 14,000-14,300 RMB/ton, 304 hot-rolled in Wuxi at 13,500-13,600 RMB/ton. 316L cold-rolled in Wuxi was quoted at 24,400-25,300 RMB/ton. 201J1 cold-rolled in Wuxi was quoted at 8,850-9,000 RMB/ton. 430 cold-rolled in Wuxi was quoted at 8,050-8,150 RMB/ton. At 10:30 AM SHFE, the SS2409 contract was priced at 14,155 RMB/ton, with Wuxi stainless steel spot premiums at 15-315 RMB/ton. (Spot shearing = rough edge + 170 RMB/ton).

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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